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14.01.2025
Merck Becomes Interesting to Be Added to a Portfolio

Merck & Co (MRK) stocks have shown signs of becoming a compelling buy opportunity. Over the past six months, the stock has been in a downtrend, declining 29.8% to $94.50 per share. However, since mid-November, MRK has demonstrated a reversal of momentum, rebounding by 10.0% to reach $104.87 on December 5. Following a brief pullback and consolidation period, the stock has retested the downtrend resistance and appears poised to continue its upward trajectory.

With prices currently positioned to target $110.00, this represents a potential 9-10% upside from the present levels. Setting a stop-loss at $93.50 aligns with a prudent risk management strategy, providing protection against further downside while allowing for upside potential. The recent consolidation phase further supports the case for a breakout, making this an attractive moment to consider initiating or adding to a position in MRK.

16.01.2025
Delta Is Taking Off To Update Its Highs

Delta Air Lines stock rose markedly by low double digits in the first ten days of the new year. The U.S. carrier has served more than 200 million customers in 2024, when it was also recognized by J.D. Power, a leading American data analytics and consumer intelligence company, for being No. 1 in First/Business and Premium Economy Passenger Satisfaction. Travelers became more willing to spend extra money for swanky seats when meeting a high level of service. Delta is just positioning itself as the nation's premium airline. And what's more important, its Christmas quarter's earnings reportedly surpassed average analyst pool projections. Driven by stronger travel demand, smart financial management and capacity discipline, Delta business provided last three-months' profit of $1.85 per share vs $1.28 at the same period one year ago, compared to $1.75 in consensus estimates. On January 10, the airline industry leader put its future profit levels within a range between $0.70 and $1 per share in the current quarter through the end of March, while analyst expectations were focused on $0.77 cents, according to data compiled by LSEG. The starting months of each year always perform worse. It is clear that all carriers made losses in the Covid years of 2020-2022, but Delta profits only recovered into a range from $0.25 to $0.45 in the first quarter of 2023 and 2024, respectively, but Q1 profit numbers varied from $0.75 to $0.96 even in the three blessed years before the pandemic. Delta added that it is forecasting annual earnings in excess of $7.35 a share, which would be the highest in its 100-year history, based on its planned revenue growth of 7% to 9% in the March quarter from a year ago. The announcement could be compared to an adjusted profit of $6.16 a share in 2024. The company happily breaks through ticket prices' rising effects, almost undisturbed by a reduction in airline seats in the domestic market, which was peculiar for most carriers. Thus, new expectations created a fertile ground for setting new price records, even though price movements on Delta charts look most convincing among its other American rivals.

By the way, Citigroup analysts freshly updated their outlook on Delta Air Lines shares to raise their price target to $80 from the previous $77, vs the actual range around $65 per share where the stock just came after a reasonable market correction from last week's and all-time highs. Citigroup said it has included factors like higher revenue per available seat mile, projections of slightly lower fuel prices, increased taxation, a minor rise in share count, and the incorporation of fourth-quarter 2024 results into their financial model, which has projected Delta's profit at $7.49 per share in 2024 and $8.72 in 2025. Delta shares are Buy-rated at Citi, and we agree with their positive estimates in general, while keeping in mind even better price goals somewhere between $82.5 and $85.

09.01.2025
VeChain Is Suffering on Rising Borrowing Costs

VeChain (VET) has fallen 12.7% this week, trading at $0.0445, underperforming the broader cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency, has declined by 5.6% to $93,220, with bearish momentum building as it approaches key support at $89,000-$91,000. This decline is largely attributed to tightening monetary conditions in the United States, which continue to weigh on risk assets. Investor confidence is further shaken by significant net outflows from spot BTC-ETFs, which lost $583 million on Wednesday, marking the second-largest single-day outflow on record.

If BTC falls below the critical support level of $89,000-$91,000, VeChain is likely to extend its losses, with prices potentially declining another 10% to $0.0400. A sustained drop in BTC could push VET even lower, towards $0.0300. Conversely, a strong rebound in BTC prices to the $100,000 level could drive VET back up to $0.0500, representing a recovery of approximately 12% from current levels.

23.01.2025
Ontology Is Sliding Towards $0.2000

Ontology (ONT) is down 2.3% this week, trading at $0.2176, in line with the broader crypto market where Bitcoin (BTC) has declined 2.0% to $101,632. While the new U.S. administration has made some strides toward fairer crypto regulation, Donald Trump has remained silent on the highly anticipated issue of adding Bitcoin to U.S. federal reserves.

Market speculation is rampant, with figures like BlackRock CEO Larry Fink suggesting Bitcoin could surge to $700,000 per coin if sovereign wealth funds begin accumulating. Other forecasts predict Bitcoin reaching $250,000 by year-end. While such projections could foster optimism, the lack of decisive action or announcements regarding U.S. crypto reserves is weighing heavily on the market.

For Ontology, the situation remains bearish. Having breached the critical support at $0.2500 last week, the token is now approaching the $0.2000 level. A failure to provide clear evidence or statements about U.S. federal crypto reserve plans could see ONT fall even further, breaching the $0.2000 mark and deepening its losses.

14.01.2025
Tezos Is Seen Hodling above $1.200

Tezos (XTZ) has declined slightly by 0.2% this week, trading at $1.249, following Bitcoin’s (BTC) drop to $89,158, which triggered widespread altcoin sell-offs due to concerns of a potential further decline in BTC to $80,000. However, Bitcoin managed to hold above the critical support level at $89,000-$91,000, offering some relief to the broader crypto market.

Speculation about a shift in U.S. trade policy has provided additional support to crypto assets. Reports suggest the new U.S. administration may pursue a gradual increase in tariffs rather than an abrupt hike, which could help alleviate inflationary pressures and lead to a less aggressive monetary stance from the Federal Reserve.

This development is a positive signal for the cryptocurrency market and may help Tezos maintain its position above the key support level of $1.200.

Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
EOS Is Targeting $0.7000 after Rebranding

EOS (EOS) is surging by 20.1% to $0.5729 this week, significantly outperforming the broader market, where Bitcoin (BTC) is up 1.0% to $83,534. The sharp rally comes after the token announced its rebranding to Vaulta on Tuesday, marking a major shift aimed at “realizing the vision of Web3 banking.” The transition, which includes a token swap, is expected to be completed by the end of May, although the timeline remains subject to change.

Yves La Rose, founder and CEO of the Vaulta Foundation, emphasized that this move represents more than just a name change. He described Vaulta as the result of years of planning, strategic development, and careful design. The announcement triggered an immediate 30.0% surge in EOS prices to $0.6639, the highest level since February 21. While prices have since retreated, it is crucial for them to hold above the $0.5000 support level. Maintaining this level could sustain the uptrend, potentially pushing prices toward $0.7000 in the near future.

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Expert Community Bets on Recovery

All three major indicators of Wall Street bounced since the beginning of the week, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average (+0.85%) leading the recovery party on March 17. This may reflect hopes for increasingly favourable conditions for the domestic U.S. manufacturing business against cross-border tariff war fears, complemented by supposedly soft signals from the Dollar-based borrowing costs regulator at the Federal Reserve meeting onn Wednesday night. The chances of any  rate move this time are close to zero, but the majority of the open market committee could mention easing inflationary pressures to set their rate path projections a step lower for the rest of the year, which could be enough to improve the overall sentiment.

Besides the recent normalization of both consumer and producer price dynamics, the central bankers may use an opportunity to join White House officials in touting the progress in egg prices halving since January peak. The Daily National Shell Egg Index just indicated that the cost of a dozen Large White eggs, the commonly purchased variety in the U.S., has fallen to $3.45 after peaking at as much as $6.55 per dozen in the end of January. Fast measures to increase imports helped against soaring egg prices, which had escalated before due to a bird flu outbreak, with many household budgets being affected even to form a focal point of political discourse.

The S&P 500 broad market barometer was able to touch 5,700 points on the rebound after a dip in the direct vicinity of the 5,500 psychological barrier. The Wall Street predictably found a strong support there, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 remained a weak link as it has not gone through the 20,000 resistance area. Investors may be caught in a pincer-like movement of selling too fast rallies in particular stocks while buying any more dips in the S&P 500 futures, day by day, balancing between these two significant boundaries for the two specific Wall Street indicators until the accumulation of micro drivers leads to cumulative breakout effects.

In this regard, the Fed meeting's outcome may not be so much in focus, compared to Nvidia's annual GTC conference for developers in San Jose, California. Exhibits are scheduled for launching the day before the Fed, going to give further insight into demand for its cutting-edge AI Blackwell chips. Nvidia promised the event would be "bigger and better than ever", yet markets want to witness this magic in figures of contracts and technical characteristics. GTC passes for Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang address as well as over 1000 sessions and hands-on training, are sold out. All this splendour of engineering thoughts will stretch out over the entire week and can significantly affect prices of Nvidia stock, which in turn is a bellwether not only for the technological segment of Wall Street.

However, we got a persistent impression that an even stronger recovery jump at the end of the currently corrective phase on Wall Street is only a matter of a short or a little bit longer time. All leading research houses are speaking with one voice on this, usually maintaining their 6,500 to 6,850 targets for the S&P 500 index through 2025, with some reputable analysts raising the bar even higher. Whose forecast stands out the most from the set of other bets is Oppenheimer group of analysts, as it keeps 7,100 as a guideline.

Among other views, a fresh UBS note for clients was remarkable, saying that markets will mount a comeback as soon as "in coming weeks" on partially "lifting trade policy uncertainty", especially when taking into consideration that the last "foray" into correction territory was "unusually quick". They also believe it would be "politically counterproductive for the Trump administration to pursue policies that risk pushing the economy into recession", so that it may start to clarify "perhaps shortly after the Trump administration announces its plans for “reciprocal” tariffs on April 2". UBS analysts calculated that, historically, for investors who normally bought after stocks have fallen 10%, the average S&P 500 return over the next 3, 6, and 12 months is 8%, 13%, and 19%, respectively.

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Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
ETC Could Be at the Recovery Start

Ethereum Classic (ETC) is trading neutral at $17.46 this week, mirroring the broader market, where Bitcoin (BTC) remains steady around $82,716. Cryptocurrencies appear to be stabilising near their lows, with some altcoins at historical support levels—both a concerning and potentially promising sign. The key factor remains Bitcoin’s ability to establish a solid base for a rally, which could be influenced by the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting on March 19.

ETC recently slipped below the $20.00 support level and may test $15.00. However, the support zone between $15.00 and $17.00 appears robust, potentially setting the stage for a strong rebound or even a market reversal.

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Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
Opening S&P 500 Long Position

The S&P 500 index recently experienced its largest correction since autumn 2023, shedding 10.4% from February 19 to March 13 and hitting a low of 5,504—the lowest level since September 12, 2024. Now, the benchmark faces two possible scenarios: either a deeper decline towards the 5,000 support level or a sharp rebound.

Large investors appear to be betting on a recovery. The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) recorded net inflows of $7.49 billion last week, following a massive $15.28 billion inflow two weeks ago. This suggests that institutional investors are actively buying the dip, reinforcing the potential for an upside move.

The index has already rebounded by 2.2% to 5,660 points, setting its sights on the 5,900–6,000 range. Given this trend, I will align with large investors by opening a long position at 5,570–5,670 points, with a stop-loss set at 5,280 points.

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